Thursday, May 19, 2011

The love hate relationship that is the NBA lottery

This past week was the NBA draft lottery. If you are not familiar with the lottery system it is when all NBA teams who did not make the playoffs are ranked in order of record and are given odds to win accordingly. For example, the team with the worst record will have the highest percentage out of a 1000 possible combination's in order to obtain the number one overall pick in the upcoming draft. The highest percentage is normally 25% with the exception of a tie for the worst record.

Now lets get to why this system is the definition of a hate love relationship.

Minnesota Timberwolves President David Kahn was not the Lottery's biggest fan Tuesday night. After the Timberwolves had the highest chance of "winning" with 25%. The number one spot was instead taken by the Cleveland Cavaliers not with their 19.9% chance but with the pick acquired from a trade with the L.A. Clippers with only a 2.8% chance. Cleveland also walked away with the fourth overall pick. Cleveland was represented by the owners 14 year old son who was born with neurofibromatosis, a condition that causes tumors to grow anywhere on the body. Nick has already undergone brain surgery once as well as multiple rounds of chemotherapy. This made a great story and seemed to bring some joy back to Cleveland for the first time since "The Decision".

David Kahn however was not pleased with the Timberwolves missing the first overall pick again (they have never had the first overall pick) despite being in the lottery numerous times. Kahn said this, "This league has a habit -- and I am just going to say habit -- of producing some pretty incredible story lines". While I can see Kahn's frustration with missing out on the top pick, I do not think that there is some sort of conspiracy concerning the lottery. In Kahn's defense, he later said that:

"I joked last night that it's a heck (of a) better story for a 14-year-old kid to beat out a couple of middle-aged executives standing together on a stage on national TV -- and that our league seems to always have its own share of luck in being a part of these stories."

Personally I do not believe that Kahn was joking while he made these comments. I am also not sure that he was accusing the NBA of rigging the lottery however, his frustration from the lottery got the best of him after wards.

This is an example of why you might disagree or even hate the lottery, if you have been a team struggling and are the worse in the league and you are not given the first pick.

The lottery can be your worst enemy or best friend. And in Cleveland's case they are loving it. Every team has a chance to win big in the lottery and it is all chance. Which is fair?

This is why I like the lottery, you are not automatically awarded for being horrible, unlike other professional sports leagues. At the same time it does help combat the issue of having a lopsided league. Only non playoff teams are automatically entered into the lottery and the odds still say that if you are the worst you have the best chance to "win" but there are no guarantees. This makes organizations, managers, coaches and players have to do more on their own to resurrect fallen franchises instead of being given the first pick with a pretty bow on top.

The NBA lottery might be the purest definition of a love hate relationship. You love it and/or hate it for the exact same reason. It just depends on how it treats you that one night of the year.

Saturday, May 14, 2011

NBA Eastern Conference Finals Preview

The last time the Bulls or the Heat reached the Eastern Conference Finals each went on to win the championship. The Heat in 2006 led by Dwayne Wade, and the Bulls? They have to go back to the reign of His Airness Michael Jordan.

Both teams at the beginning of the season were Eastern Conference favorites. At the beginning of the postseason they were still favorites and now they will decide who will represent their conference in the finals.

The Bulls came into the playoffs looking like they could take out the Heat with their superior team play on defense and with Rose orchestrating their offensive attack. The past two rounds have shown the opposite however. The Bulls have been struggling defensively against the Atlanta Hawks. They were not bad but they did not play up to the level they had all season. While the Heat put away the Boston Celtics last round like it was a first round match up and not a brutal series against the defending Eastern Conference champions.

Despite the Bulls lack of dominance thus far in the playoffs they still have the NBA's MVP in Derrick Rose who has been leading the Bulls charge. Rose's teammates have not been playing well enough to be able to have a chance against the Heat. Rose is good, but the Heat have these tow guys named Wade and James, and they are pretty good as well.

I thought that the Bulls having a stronger supporting cast, deeper bench and better team defense would be able to advance past the Heat at the beginning of the playoffs. While I still believe they can, I do not think they can if they continue to play at the level they have the past two rounds.

Regardless of who comes out on top, this is going to be a series that will go at least six games. If it doesn't it is because Wade and James will go off and the Bulls will not respond accordingly.

Sunday will tell a lot about if the Bulls have come to play or not this series. And if not, at least they have until Wednesday since Oprah will be taking over the United Center Monday and Tuesday.

Friday, May 13, 2011

The Law on Sports is expanding

Dear readers and fellow sports fanatics.

For the past eleven months I have been sharing my thoughts and analysis' on various sports topics. It originally started as a hobby that I did for fun. However over the past eleven months I have officially changed my major to sports broadcasting and want to pursue a career in covering and presenting sports.

With this being said I am still writing entries in my blog. I also now have a Twitter account that I update more frequently with random thoughts and opinions. My user name is @TheLawOnSports but you can also view my recent Tweets and follow me right on the homepage of my blog right here >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

You can also subscribe to my blog via email right below my twitter feed.

I have also been writing weekly articles for www.oregonsportsnews.com I update my twitter with the link to my articles with the direct link so you can access them easily.

I hope that you enjoy my various opinions and thoughts on the sporting world and its current events. Thank you for all your support and I hope you continue to follow me.

Nick Law

Friday, May 6, 2011

Five Reasons the Mavericks Have the Lakers Down 3-0

Reviewing the past three games, the Lakers need to reverse their game plan in order to make NBA playoff history. However, for the sake of this entry, here are five reasons that the Mavericks have an opportunity to sweep the Lakers come Sunday.

1. The Mavericks have had better team defense.

As a team the Mavericks have been better defensively than the Lakers. In game 3 the Mavericks showed the Lakers early how to play team defense WITH FULL ROTATIONS. After a screen switch Kidd ended up guarding Odom with the ball on the right block. After Odom kicks it out to Kobe, then Kobe to Fisher, then Fisher to Gasol in the left corner, who was guarding him? Kidd. The Mavericks rotated all the way around and Kidd went from one side of the court to the other to pick up the open man. A second example of team defense was when Dirk and Kidd doubled Gasol baseline and Chandler took away the passing lane and was able to get the steal.

2. The Lakers lack of team defense

Just as impressive as the Mavericks team defense has been, the Lakers have been almost the complete opposite. Between Kobe, Bynum, Gasol, Odom, and Artest, the Lakers not only have excellent defenders but length and athleticism at their disposal. Now if someone could only get them to play team defense. After game two, Bynum told the media that the Lakers had "trust issues". When Kobe was asked about this he attributed it to the lack of help defense. The play where Barea split the lane and Bynum gave perfect help only for his man to get a sideline slam is a perfect example. One rotation is not enough! You make the required rotations when you gain possession of the ball.

3. The Mavericks have a plethora of three point shooters, oh yeah and they make them!

The big four of course are Dirk, Kidd, Terry and Peja. In each game they have had way too many wide open looks. Dirk alone had three three point shots he drained when there wasn't a Laker within almost ten feet of him in game three. Those four combined are shooting just below 42% from the three point line. While the Lakers have not shot better then 26% from three and as bad as 10% in game two. Give it to the Mavs, they are hitting from deep and the Lakers defensive is helping them out.

4. Freaky Friday has become reality

As far as I am aware, the Lakers were still in possession of the better and more experienced Gasol brother, right? Either way, Pau Gasol is no where to be seen this postseason. His numbers have dropped from last year’s playoffs and this year’s regular season as if he had a critical injury. FG% down 10 percent, rebounds down 2 a game, and points down 5 a game in comparison to the regular season. I was under the impression that stars and leaders of teams played better in the postseason. (See Derrick Rose and Dirk Nowitzki)

5. Dirk Nowitzki

I never expected Dirk Nowitzki to play the way he has been this series; better than I have ever seen. Shooting, passing, driving, and yes, even defensively. And before you bring up the choke in the finals, Dirk and his Mavericks have out scored the Lakers in the fourth quarter every game this season. Like Kobe, Dirk is basically impossible to guard. And game three he drove and drew fouls as well as passed it out of the double team extremely well. You can't stop Dirk, but you don't have to give him wide open looks from the three point line.